Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003224 0.003380 0.003540 0.003715 0.003903 0.004097 0.004314
2025-05-18 0.002931 0.003162 0.003408 0.003688 0.004001 0.004341 0.004739
2025-05-25 0.002799 0.003080 0.003386 0.003746 0.004161 0.004626 0.005190
2025-06-01 0.002659 0.002970 0.003317 0.003735 0.004227 0.004794 0.005503
2025-06-08 0.002533 0.002865 0.003242 0.003705 0.004262 0.004918 0.005759
2025-06-15 0.002409 0.002754 0.003151 0.003645 0.004253 0.004983 0.005939
2025-06-22 0.002304 0.002659 0.003073 0.003596 0.004249 0.005048 0.006118
2025-06-29 0.002237 0.002606 0.003040 0.003598 0.004306 0.005187 0.006393
2025-07-06 0.002123 0.002490 0.002926 0.003493 0.004221 0.005141 0.006419
2025-07-13 0.002071 0.002447 0.002900 0.003496 0.004272 0.005268 0.006679
2025-07-20 0.002044 0.002435 0.002911 0.003545 0.004382 0.005476 0.007058
2025-07-27 0.001982 0.002375 0.002858 0.003509 0.004378 0.005530 0.007222
2025-08-03 0.001927 0.002324 0.002817 0.003487 0.004393 0.005611 0.007430
2025-08-10 0.001875 0.002275 0.002775 0.003462 0.004403 0.005684 0.007630
2025-08-17 0.001859 0.002271 0.002792 0.003515 0.004520 0.005911 0.008067
2025-08-24 0.001817 0.002233 0.002762 0.003504 0.004547 0.006009 0.008315
2025-08-31 0.001772 0.002188 0.002722 0.003477 0.004548 0.006070 0.008507
2025-09-07 0.001719 0.002131 0.002664 0.003423 0.004509 0.006069 0.008600
2025-09-14 0.001671 0.002081 0.002614 0.003377 0.004481 0.006082 0.008715
2025-09-21 0.001644 0.002057 0.002597 0.003379 0.004521 0.006197 0.008998
2025-09-28 0.001581 0.001984 0.002514 0.003283 0.004412 0.006083 0.008901
2025-10-05 0.001557 0.001963 0.002500 0.003285 0.004450 0.006194 0.009182
2025-10-12 0.001549 0.001963 0.002515 0.003330 0.004553 0.006408 0.009647